The indicator sits on one permit number
Potrero Yard is a 4.4-acre public site in San Francisco, bounded by Bryant, 17th, Hampshire and Mariposa streets. The modernisation project replaces a bus yard built in 1915 with a four-story bus maintenance and storage facility. Housing and ground-floor commercial space sit on the same block. The SFMTA project page states construction has begun and runs through 2030.
Permit 202411084679 is the new-construction filing to erect the bus facility. It carries a $400 million estimated cost, it was filed on 8 November 2024, and it stood in filed status in the record read for this article. The only permit issued on the block is the asbestos removal filing of 25 August 2026, issued on 7 October 2026, which clears the demolition. The demolition permit, 202608196855, covers a two-story auto repair building at a $4.5 million estimate. It was filed on 8 September 2026 and also sits in filed status.
Track 202411084679.
What the Fall 2025 reset removed
The SFMTA states it made cost saving reductions across the agency in fall 2025. It states the previously endorsed project scope was beyond what it could afford. The page records changes that reduce the amount of housing that could be built, and it keeps the opportunity to build up to 100 units.
Bus capacity moved the other way. The SFMTA blog of 26 March 2026 puts the new yard at 246 buses against 146 today, a 68 percent increase. The page publishes no reduction to the bus programme.
The housing line moved in the reset and the bus capacity line did not. On a public-land joint development that carries one service asset and one policy commitment, the published record shows which line absorbed the change.
Three housing figures in the record
The planning history page for the 2018-2022 concept proposes approximately 560 units in seven floors above the bus facility. The housing and commercial page states the project is entitled for up to 465 residential units with up to 776 bedrooms. The programme the agency describes today is approximately 100 units along Bryant Street.
No page reconciles those figures. The housing page states that development of the units is subject to funding sources and market feasibility.
The money in the record
The city permit for the bus facility carries a $400 million estimate. The housing page states the Mayor’s Office of Housing and Community Development has committed $35 million to the project. The affordable housing developer team is the Mission Economic Development Agency and Tabernacle Community Development Corporation. The page names the Affordable Housing and Sustainable Communities Grant and the California Tax Credit Allocation Committee as the state routes under pursuit.
The phase two gate is housing finance
Two phases are published. Phase 1, the bus yard facility and podium, runs 2026 to 2030. Phase 2, affordable housing along Bryant Street, is anticipated to begin as early as 2029 and to last approximately two years. The page states the construction start date depends on housing financing.
The record publishes no lender and no closed financing for the housing. The bus phase runs on the published schedule.
Retail and the leasing window
The commercial component is two ground-floor retail spaces. One sits at Bryant and Mariposa across from the KQED headquarters. The other sits at 17th and Bryant across from the playground at Franklin Square. Vendor kiosk spaces line 17th Street. Organizations, small businesses and street vendors based in the Mission District, Bayview and Potrero Hill are prioritised as tenants. Leasing is anticipated to begin in late 2029.
Why the signal travels past this site
The sequence on this site is entitlement at a high unit count, then a cost reset that leaves a fraction of it, with the transit asset unchanged. Any public agency that carries a capital asset and a housing commitment under one agreement reads the same exposure.
The single number to follow is 202411084679. Issue of that permit marks the point where the $400 million bus programme is under way.